Course Introduction and Application Information

Course Code: MIS308
Course Name: Quantitative Decision Methods
Semester: Fall
Course Credits:
ECTS
4
Language of instruction: English
Course Condition:
Does the Course Require Work Experience?: No
Type of course: Departmental Elective
Course Level:
Bachelor TR-NQF-HE:6. Master`s Degree QF-EHEA:First Cycle EQF-LLL:6. Master`s Degree
Mode of Delivery: Face to face
Course Coordinator: Doç. Dr. OKAN YAŞAR
Course Lecturer(s): Okan Yaşar
Course Assistants:

Course Objective and Content

Course Objectives: Quantitative methods and spreadsheet skills to support management practice and decision making. Topics include statistical hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, regression analysis, optimization modeling, decision analysis and risk analysis. Therefore, this course develops quantitative methods and spreadsheet skills to support management practice and decision making including: hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, regression analysis, decision analysis, optimization and risk analysis. The course goals are: 1) Demonstrate the wide range of situations in which quantitative analysis improves decision making and creates competitive advantages; 2) Develop students’ analytical thinking skills. 3) Develop mastery of analysis using spreadsheet models, and effective communication of results.
Course Content: Upon completing the course, the student should be able to: 1. Describe a set of data using histograms, scatter diagrams and summary statistics. 2. Compute statistics from sample data to support confidence interval estimation, hypothesis testing and regression analysis. 3. Infer the statistical precision of insights derived from confidence interval estimation, hypothesis testing and regression analysis. 4. Construct effective models of decision making situations using principles of professional spreadsheet design. 5. Compute optimal solutions to decision making models for the management of a wide range of situations in which quantitative analysis improves decision making. 6. Analyze spreadsheet simulation models and decisions with uncertain outcomes by using multiple criteria for optimality and risk.

Learning Outcomes

The students who have succeeded in this course;
1) 1. Describe a set of data using histograms, scatter diagrams and summary statistics. 2. Compute statistics from sample data to support confidence interval estimation, hypothesis testing and regression analysis. 3. Infer the statistical precision of insights derived from confidence interval estimation, hypothesis testing and regression analysis. 4. Construct effective models of decision making situations using principles of professional spreadsheet design. 5. Compute optimal solutions to decision making models for the management of a wide range of situations in which quantitative analysis improves decision making. 6. Analyze spreadsheet simulation models and decisions with uncertain outcomes by using multiple criteria for optimality and risk.
2) 2. Compute statistics from sample data to support confidence interval estimation, hypothesis testing and regression analysis.
3) 3. Infer the statistical precision of insights derived from confidence interval estimation, hypothesis testing and regression analysis.
4) 4. Construct effective models of decision making situations using principles of professional spreadsheet design.

Course Flow Plan

Week Subject Related Preparation
1) Chapter 1 (Introduction to Quantitative Analysis)
2) Chapter 2 (Probability Concepts and Applications)
3) Chapter 2 (Probability Concepts and Applications)
4) Estimation & Confidence Intervals
5) Estimation & Confidence Intervals
6) Chapter (Regression Models)
7) Chapter (Regression Models)
8) Chapter (Decision Analysis)
9) Linear Programming Models: Graphical & Computer Methods
10) Linear Programming Applications
11) Simulation Modeling
12) Introduction to probability, Bayes’ Theorem
13) Introduction to probability, Bayes’ Theorem
14) Game theory

Sources

Course Notes / Textbooks: Clemen, R. T., & Reilly, T. (2013). Making hard decisions with DecisionTools. Cengage Learning.
References: Lecture Notes

Course - Program Learning Outcome Relationship

Course Learning Outcomes

1

2

3

4

Program Outcomes

Course - Learning Outcome Relationship

No Effect 1 Lowest 2 Average 3 Highest
       
Program Outcomes Level of Contribution

Assessment & Grading

Semester Requirements Number of Activities Level of Contribution
Midterms 1 % 40
Final 1 % 60
total % 100
PERCENTAGE OF SEMESTER WORK % 40
PERCENTAGE OF FINAL WORK % 60
total % 100

Workload and ECTS Credit Calculation

Activities Number of Activities Workload
Course Hours 14 42
Study Hours Out of Class 16 78
Midterms 1 2
Final 1 3
Total Workload 125